Commodity Market Report

Global thermal coal short-term outlook March 2019: pricing lost amid market fog

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Depending on which side of the trade table you sit, March import coal pricing could be seen as a blessing or a curse. Demand is pressured as Chinese cargo clearance times at major northern and south ports now appear to stretch out into May. The ripple effect drive down prices on all but Indonesian and Australian high CV coals. European demand withered as the continent came out of an especially mild winter coupled with strong renewables and low gas pricing. As we enter the shoulder season, where do we expect prices to go?

Table of contents

  • China – import delay rumours migrate to southern ports
  • India - carbon conversion to cause volatility in coal demand in India
  • South Korea – spring brings return of coal curtailment program
  • Europe – mild temperatures drive coal burn down
  • Turkey – one of the last imported coal power plants to be built?
  • China – increased production emerging after latest round of safety inspections
  • Australia – permitting risk and CHPP delays tighten high CV outlook
  • India – third auction for SHAKTI coal contracts announced
  • Indonesia – energy ministry maintains reduced production cap
  • Colombia – production enjoys a calm before the storm

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    Global thermal coal short-term outlook March 2019: pricing lost amid market fog

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