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Testing price floors in the European thermal coal market

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Report summary

The mood at the recently concluded Coaltrans World conference at Copenhagen was overwhelmingly bearish on thermal coal prices. We met with over 40 market participants and few if any had a strong rationale for increasing prices either in the Pacific or in Europe. With continued pressures on the cost curve we see further scope for pricing floors at different levels: expect to see some near term price shocks in the US$60/t range for ARA in the upcoming months.

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    Testing price floors in the European thermal coal market

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  • At what level do pricing floors exist?

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