Commodity Market Report

Algeria long-term gas supply outlook 2018

03 January 2019

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03 January 2019

Algeria long-term gas supply outlook 2018

Report summary

After a dramatic recovery in 2016, Algerian exports (pipe and LNG) were maintained close to 54 bcm in 2017. Algerian exports are expected to remain high through the early 2020 as on-going work at Hassi R'Mel. additional sales gas from legacy oil fields and new projects in the southwest help Algeria defend its market position in Europe. Long-term however the same risks and need to develop new replacement supply remains.

Hassi R'Mel underpinned Algerian production recovery in recent years; front-loading will continue through the mid-2020s
Security concerns remain a risk and consideration for investors
New Southwest projects are critical for stabilising long-term supply but greater foreign investment is needed
Unconventionals are back on the table but remain a long-term prospect; offshore exploration expected in 2019
Export potential
Pipe
- Gas sales in North Africa
- International contracts
- Extensions and new deals
LNG
- International contracts
- Extensions and new deals
Strategy
Recent trends
Outlook
- Medium-term