Commodity Market Report

Argentina gas and power long-term outlook H1 2020

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23 July 2020

Argentina gas and power long-term outlook H1 2020

Report summary

After six straight years growing domestic production, Argentina’s gas market now faces a change in direction. Gas price controls, out of date tariffs and exchange rates, and payment delays from gas buyers – all amid the uncertainty of an economic crisis and pandemic – are causing producers to reduce investment. In response, the government is currently assessing an auction to contract up to 70 Mcmd of local distribution and thermal power demand, with the expectation producers will then resume E&P investments, but it won’t be enough due to price caps imposed in the auction. The reduction in drilling causes domestic production to fall in 2020 for the first time since 2014, when tight and offshore gas projects increased production, followed by Vaca Muerta. Argentina’s gas and power market landscape has changed dramatically, and in this outlook we assess the effects coronavirus and price controls are having on the future gas balance, trade, infrastructure investment and gas prices.

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  • Document

    Argentina Gas and Power Long term outlook H1 2020.pdf

    PDF 4.25 MB

  • Document

    Republish_14_Oct_2020Base Case - Argentina Gas and Power long-term outlook.xlsm

    XLSM 33.26 MB

  • Document

    Republish_14_Oct_2020Vaca Muerta High Case - Argentina Gas and Power long-term outlook.xlsm

    XLSM 33.25 MB

  • Document

    Base Case - Argentina Gas and Power long-term outlook.xlsm

    XLSM 33.17 MB

  • Document

    Vaca Muerta High Case - Argentina Gas and Power long-term outlook.xlsm

    XLSM 33.12 MB