Assessing the 12th Five Year Plan for Natural Gas Development Report

Insight 19 March 2013

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Report summary

In October 2012, the Chinese government released the 12th Five Year Plan (FYP) for Natural Gas Development. This is the first FYP to include a publically available development plan focusing specifically on the natural gas sector. The 12th FYP highlights major achievements and issues in China's gas sector through the 11th five year period (2005-2010) as well as objectives and challenges for the sector through to 2015. The gas development plan includes specific targets for China's domestic...

Executive Summary
Background
- What is China's Five Year Plan?
- An overview of the 12th Five Year Plan for Natural Gas Development
China’s gas demand outlook in 2015
- Power sector demand for gas is a major uncertainty
- Risks and challenges to meeting government demand targets
China’s domestic gas supply targets – an unconventional dilemma
- Where will 6.5 bcm of shale gas come from by 2015?
- CBM development remains cautious
- but Coal-to-Gas expected to outperform
Implications on Gas Imports
Conclusion