Europe energy prices long-term outlook H2 2018
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Table of contents
-
Oil Prices
- Demand growth, geopolitical risk outweigh robust supply
-
Gas Prices
- Rising European demand to compete with Asia
-
Coal Prices
- China reform and two contradictory stressors
- The outlook for coal prices
-
Power Prices
- Decarbonisation reshapes wholesale power markets
-
Increased renewable supply rains on the fortunes of gas and coal
- Higher input costs support rising power prices in the early 2020s
-
ETS Carbon Prices
- Recent market trends
- Energy policy development and strengthening of the ETS
- 2030 targets confirmed
- The long-term role of EU emissions trading
- Emissions (EUA) prices
- Carbon (EUA) price forecast
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Oil price forecast
- Global gas price forecast
- Coal price forecast - delivered (CFR) ARA prices (6,000 kcal/kg NAR)
- Base load power prices by market
- Clean spark spreads (left) and clean dark spreads (right) (low efficiency)
- Carbon (EUA) price and fuel switching cost in power
- GDP growth
What's included
This report contains:
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