Europe energy prices long-term outlook H2 2019
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Table of contents
- Oil Prices
-
Gas Prices
- LNG oversupply dominates the market
-
Coal Prices
- Developing World expansion and carbon emissions limits- two contradictory stressors
- The outlook for coal prices
- Phase 1: Gas Price weakness weighs on coal prices (2019-2020)
- Phase 2: Recovery to distressed marginal costs (2021 – 2025)
- Phase 3: Higher prices required to incentivise projects (2026 – 2033)
- Phase 4: renewables and project approval risks weigh on prices (2034 – 2040)
-
Carbon Prices
- Outturn market trends
- Rising emissions costs reshape the power dispatch curve
- Energy policy development and strengthening of the ETS
- 2030 targets confirmed
- The long-term role of EU emissions trading
- Emissions (EUA) prices
- Carbon (EUA) price forecast
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Oil Price Forecast (Brent Crude)
- Coal price forecast CFR ARA
- Gas price forecast - Global markets
- EU emissions (EUA) price and fuel switching cost in power
- GDP Growth
What's included
This report contains:
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