Commodity Market Report

Europe gas and power markets short-term outlook Q1 2019

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Coal-to-gas switching levels become the key feature of European gas price setting through 2019 and 2020. With the level of Russian flows into Europe remaining a risk to the outlook. The strategy employed by Russia could look very different between 2019 and 2020 taking account of the new pipeline routes of Nord Stream 2, TurkStream and TAP which will all commission in late-2019. These new routes will reshape European gas flows and the cost of Ukraine transit in 2020 will not become clear until May 2019 at the earliest.

Table of contents

    • European gas fundamentals
  • Gas market balance
  • Power prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

  • Storage inventories
  • Russia imports
  • Gas prices
  • UK baseload power prices (nominal)
  • Europe baseload power prices (nominal)
  • Clean spreads (baseload) - UK (nominal)
  • Emissions prices: ETS EUA & GB CPF Uplifted
  • Germany baseload power prices (nominal)
  • Clean spreads (baseload) - Germany (nominal)
  • Key market data

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Europe gas and power short term outlook Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 2.78 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas and power markets short-term outlook Q1 2019

    PDF 1.40 MB