Commodity Market Report

Europe gas demand

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04 August 2021

Europe gas demand

Report summary

European gas demand has delivered significant gains since the last outlook, despite high prices and lingering coronavirus restrictions. Power continues to underpin demand long term, although competition from renewables will displace thermal generation, gas will provide essential support to the evolving supply mix and long-term electricity demand growth. Gas generators must deliver decarbonisation options such as CCS to secure a long-term future. The EU will struggle to meet ambitious Green Deal carbon targets without renewed emphasis on hard-to-decarbonise industrial sectors. Decarbonisation of energy use in buildings will gather pace in the 2030s and further accelerate through the 2040s. These factors combine to reduce gas demand to 438 bcm by 2040 and 340 bcm by 2050. On the other hand LNG will increasingly be adopted in maritime transport, with demand growing to 10.7 bcm by 2030 and up to 20 bcm by 2050.

Table of contents

  • Blue hydrogen
  • Residential and commercial sectors
  • Industrial sector
  • Other sectors
  • Road transport
  • Domestic navigation LNG bunkers
  • International marine LNG bunkers

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • Effect of hydrogen on gas demand
  • Hydrogen modelling
  • European ResCom demand by sub-sector
  • Residential modelling
  • Factors affecting change in residential demand
  • Households by primary heating technology
  • European industrial gas demand by sub-region
  • European road transport gas demand
  • EU-27 + UK Demand Outlook Comparison
  • CO2 emissions from fuel combustion

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Europe Gas Demand 2021 Update.xlsx

    XLSX 1.59 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas demand

    PDF 1.92 MB