Commodity Market Report

Europe indigenous gas supply long-term outlook H2 2018

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What’s the key takeaway from this report?

European indigenous gas production declines through our forecast but there are bright spots across the region and companies continue to invest heavily in exploration and production.  Will there be enough big finds to reverse the natural drop in output from ageing fields?

Why buy this report?

  • Understand Europe’s supply scene and identify the potential upside for European indigenous gas production over the long-term
  • Identify likely areas for investment growth and key projects to watch
  • Get supply, demand and market analysis from our global team of experts, including an up to date view of Europe’s production profile, with detailed information on projects by country.

 

Indigenous supply in Europe

European indigenous gas production declines through our forecast but there are bright spots across the region and companies continue to invest heavily in exploration and production. Both frontier acreage and mature regions are showing results. 2018 saw immature West of Shetland record the UK's biggest find in a decade, only to be outdone this month by a 1.5-tcf discovery in the ageing Central North Sea. They both highlight the potential for quality finds still to be uncovered. But over the long-term, investment will compete with low-cost proven reserves in other regions, and political and regulatory hurdles will need to be addressed to encourage sustained investment in Europe.

Table of contents

  • Diminishing gas output exacerbates Europe's long-term import reliance, but mega finds in 2018 provide future hope
  • Is it all over for exploration in the Netherlands?
  • Romania's Black Sea: fiscal changes risk future competitiveness
  • Cyprus is pivotal for development options in the East Med
  • Could investment bolster growth in the UK?
  • Norway remains the bedrock of indigenous European supply.
  • Prospects in smaller producing countries
  • Unconventional supply
  • Future challenges and opportunities

Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

  • Europe indigenous supply
  • Groningen production plan vs. WM 2018 base case
  • Europe unconventional production
  • Supply by status

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Europe indigenous gas supply long-term outlook H2 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 1.56 MB

  • Document

    Europe indigenous gas supply long-term outlook H2 2018

    PDF 1.94 MB

  • Document

    Europe indigenous gas supply long-term outlook H2 2018

    ZIP 1.94 MB