Commodity Market Report

Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

31 October 2019

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31 October 2019

Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

Report summary

In February 2019, Repsol announced discovery of 2-tcf Kali Berau Dalam field, providing gas supplies for Indonesia in the mid-term to replace declining Corridor field. The volume can serve the key Indonesian demand centres of Sumatra and West Java. Gas demand growth will be limited in the near-term as new coal-fired power plants are expected to come online. In the long-term, gas demand will pick up in in late 2020s primarily driven by the power sector. LNG will play a bigger role in the supply mix given declining pipeline production. On the market structure side, PERTAMINA and PGN merger is technically completed but implementation process is still on-going. Apart from integrating the downstream pipeline business, the LNG portfolio will reportedly be under PGN as well.

Market background
Key developments since last update
- PERTAMINA-PGN merger still in process
- Upstream development progress
- Slow demand growth in the near term as coal-fired power plants starts up; recovery is expected longer-term as the economy and power demand expands
- LNG projects continue to face uncertainties
- Pricing
- Data summary
- Indonesia gas demand by sector
- Indonesia gas demand by region
- Indonesia gas market balance
- Key changes to analysis from H2 2018 publication
Upstream
Midstream and downstream
- PERTAMINA
- PGN
- PLN
Supply from Java
Contracted supply
- Uncontracted supply potential
- Yet-to-find supply potential
- Contracted supply
- Uncontracted supply potential
- Yet-to-find supply potential
- Contracted supply
- Uncontracted supply potential
- Yet-to-find supply potential
- Contracted supply
- Uncontracted supply potential
- Yet-to-find supply potential
Unconventional gas
- Coal bed methane (CBM)
- Shale gas
Appendix
Power generation
Non power
- Gas aggregators
- Ammonia/urea
- Petrochemicals
- Enhanced oil recovery
- Refineries
- Transport
- Steel and smelters
- West Java gas demand
- Central and East Java gas demand
- Batam gas demand
- Kalimantan gas demand
- Sulawesi gas demand
- Rest of Indonesia (ROI) gas demand
Gas pipeline infrastructure: existing
- Additional West Java infrastructure
- Cilegon-Serpong
- West Java Ring Lines 1-3
- Muara Tawar-Tegal Gede and Cirebon-KHT
- Additional Central/East Java infrastructure
- East to West Java pipeline
- Duri-Medan pipeline
- Grissik-Palembang pipeline
- Kalimantan to Java pipeline
- West Java gas balance
- West Java gas market balance
- Central and East Java gas balance
- Central and East Java gas market balance
- Central and South Sumatra gas market balance
- North Sumatra gas market balance
- Batam gas market balance
- Kalimantan gas market balance
- Sulawesi gas balance
- Papua gas market balance
- Timor gas balance
- Piped gas prices
- Historical price trend
- Recent price cap for industries
- New price regulation for power
- LNG contract prices