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Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

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31 October 2019

Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

Report summary

In February 2019, Repsol announced discovery of 2-tcf Kali Berau Dalam field, providing gas supplies for Indonesia in the mid-term to replace declining Corridor field. The volume can serve the key Indonesian demand centres of Sumatra and West Java. Gas demand growth will be limited in the near-term as new coal-fired power plants are expected to come online. In the long-term, gas demand will pick up in in late 2020s primarily driven by the power sector. LNG will play a bigger role in the supply mix given declining pipeline production. On the market structure side, PERTAMINA and PGN merger is technically completed but implementation process is still on-going. Apart from integrating the downstream pipeline business, the LNG portfolio will reportedly be under PGN as well.

Table of contents

  • Market background
    • PERTAMINA-PGN merger still in process
    • Upstream development progress
    • Slow demand growth in the near term as coal-fired power plants starts up; recovery is expected longer-term as the economy and power demand expands
    • LNG projects continue to face uncertainties
    • Pricing
    • Data summary
    • Indonesia gas demand by sector
    • Indonesia gas demand by region
    • Indonesia gas market balance
    • Key changes to analysis from H2 2018 publication
  • Upstream
    • PERTAMINA
    • PGN
    • PLN
  • Supply from Java
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Contracted supply
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Contracted supply
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Contracted supply
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Coal bed methane (CBM)
    • Shale gas
  • Appendix
  • Power generation
    • Gas aggregators
    • Ammonia/urea
    • Petrochemicals
    • Enhanced oil recovery
    • Refineries
    • Transport
    • Steel and smelters
    • West Java gas demand
    • Central and East Java gas demand
    • Batam gas demand
    • Kalimantan gas demand
    • Sulawesi gas demand
    • Rest of Indonesia (ROI) gas demand
    • Additional West Java infrastructure
    • Cilegon-Serpong
    • West Java Ring Lines 1-3
    • Muara Tawar-Tegal Gede and Cirebon-KHT
    • Additional Central/East Java infrastructure
    • East to West Java pipeline
    • Duri-Medan pipeline
    • Grissik-Palembang pipeline
    • Kalimantan to Java pipeline
    • West Java gas balance
    • West Java gas market balance
    • Central and East Java gas balance
    • Central and East Java gas market balance
    • Central and South Sumatra gas market balance
    • North Sumatra gas market balance
    • Batam gas market balance
    • Kalimantan gas market balance
    • Sulawesi gas balance
    • Papua gas market balance
    • Timor gas balance
    • Piped gas prices
    • Historical price trend
    • Recent price cap for industries
    • New price regulation for power
    • LNG contract prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 85 images and tables including:

  • Indonesia gas reserves: top 20 reserve holders
  • Potential gas supply available: Java
  • West Java gas pipelines and fields
  • East Java gas pipelines and fields
  • Gas demand by sector
  • Java-Bali gas pipelines and fields
  • GDP Forecast - Indonesia
  • PERTAMINA's business lines (2018)
  • PERTAMINA's gas production and distribution
  • PGN's business lines (2018)
  • PGN's gas production and distribution
  • PLN's customer segment (2015)
  • PLN's power sales and gas consumption
  • Total potential gas supply available: Indonesia
  • Potential gas supply available: Sumatra and Natuna Sea
  • Central Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • South Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • North Sumatra/Aceh gas pipelines and fields
  • Potential gas supply available: Kalimantan
  • Potential gas supply available: rest of Indonesia
  • West Java total gas demand
  • West Java power sector gas users
  • West Java industry sector gas users
  • West Java gas demand
  • Central Java gas demand
  • East Java total gas demand
  • Central and East Java power sector gas users
  • Central and East Java industry sector gas users
  • Central and East Java gas demand
  • Central Sumatra gas demand
  • South Sumatra total gas demand
  • Central and South Sumatra power sector gas users
  • Central and South Sumatra industry sector gas users
  • Central and South Sumatra gas demand
  • Medan total gas demand
  • Aceh total gas demand
  • North Sumatra/Aceh power sector gas users
  • North Sumatra/Aceh industry sector gas users
  • North Sumatra/Aceh gas demand
  • Batam total gas demand
  • Batam power sector gas users
  • Batam industry sector gas users
  • Batam gas demand
  • Kalimantan total gas demand
  • Kalimantan power sector gas users
  • Kalimantan industry sector gas users
  • Kalimantan gas demand
  • Sulawesi total gas demand
  • Sulawesi power sector gas users
  • Sulawesi industry sector gas users
  • Sulawesi gas demand
  • Papua total gas demand
  • ROI power sector gas users
  • ROI industry sector gas users
  • ROI Gas Demand
  • Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • West Java supply demand gap
  • West Java gas balance
  • West Java pipeline utilisation (SSWJ*)
  • Central and East Java supply demand gap
  • Central and East Java gas balance
  • Central and East Java pipeline utilisation
  • Central and South Sumatra supply demand gap
  • Central and South Sumatra gas balance
  • entral and South Sumatra pipeline utilisation
  • North Sumatra/Aceh supply demand gap
  • North Sumatra gas balance
  • Batam supply demand gap
  • Batam gas balance
  • The Grissik-Singapore pipeline utilisation
  • Kalimantan supply demand gap
  • Kalimantan gas balance
  • Sulawesi supply demand gap
  • Sulawesi balance
  • Papua supply demand gap
  • Papua gas balance
  • Annual gas prices
  • Gas price outlook to power (Java)
  • Power gas prices (2019)
  • Industry gas prices (2019)
  • Fertiliser gas prices (2018)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Indonesia_gas_markets__2019_Policy_and_regulation.pdf

    PDF 558.77 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia_Gas_Data.xls

    XLS 1.81 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

    PDF 12.38 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia gas markets: 2019 long-term regional outlook

    ZIP 13.04 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia_Overview.pdf

    PDF 363.43 KB

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