Indonesia gas markets long-term full report H1 2015

Commodity Market Report 25 June 2015

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Report summary

Low oil prices and regulatory uncertainties are deferring some upstream projects, with industry players reduce spending and review development plans. This will affect the gas supply availability in the medium term. On the other hand, the increasing focus toward the domestic market will continue to drive demand. The combination of a slow down in upstream development and higher demand growth will lead to increased reliance on future LNG imports.

Executive summary
- Data Summary
  - Indonesia gas demand by sector
  - Indonesia gas demand by region
  - Indonesia gas market balance
  - Key changes to analysis from H2 2014 publication
- Market Overview
  - Oil and Gas Law revisions
  - Delays in upstream supply projects
  - Gas pipeline expansions continue to progress
  - Domestic LNG demand expected to grow strongly
Economic outlook
- GDP forecast - Indonesia
Policy and regulation
- In this section
  - Key offices
  - Indonesia’s energy policy and regulatory structure
  - Indonesia gas market value chain
    - Indonesia gas market value chain
  - Energy policy
    - Oil and gas law revisions
    - Competition
    - Fuel mix
    - Pricing
      - Major pieces of energy legislation
      - Gas market regulation
        
        Upstream
        
        PSC license extensions
        
        Domestic Market Obligation
        
        Indonesian Participation
        
        Unconventional resources
        
        Midstream and downstream
        
        Transmission
        
        Distribution and retail
Key companies
- Upstream
  - Indonesia gas reserves – top 20 reserve holders*
- Midstream/downstream
  - PERTAMINA
  - PGN
Supply
- In this section
- Supply from Java
  - Contracted supply
  - Uncontracted supply potential
  - Yet-to-find supply potential
- Supply from Sumatra
  - Contracted supply
  - Uncontracted supply potential
  - Yet-to-find supply potential
- Supply from Kalimantan
  - Contracted supply
  - Uncontracted supply potential
  - Yet-to-find supply potential
- Supply from the rest of Indonesia
  - Contracted supply
  - Uncontracted supply potential
  - Yet-to-find supply potential
- Unconventional gas
  - Coal Bed Methane (CBM)
  - Shale gas
- Appendix
Infrastructure
- In this section
- Gas pipeline infrastructure – existing
- Gas pipeline infrastructure – under development & proposed
  - Additional West Java infrastructure
    - Cilegon - Serpong
    - West Java Ring Lines 1 - 3
    - Muara Tawar - Tegal Gede and Cirebon - KHT
  - Additional Central/East Java infrastructure
  - East to West Java pipeline
  - Duri - Medan pipeline
  - Kalimantan to Java pipeline
- LNG infrastructure
  - Liquefaction terminals
  - Existing regasification terminals
  - Future/proposed regasification terminal
    - Under development
    - Speculative
    - Appendix
Demand
- In this section
- Power generation
- Non power
  - Gas aggregators
  - Ammonia/Urea
  - Petrochemicals
  - Enhanced oil recovery
  - Refineries
  - Transport
  - Smelters
- West Java gas demand
- Central and East Java gas demand
- Central and South Sumatra gas demand
- North Sumatra (Medan and Aceh) gas demand
- Batam gas demand
- Kalimantan gas demand
- Sulawesi gas demand
- Papua gas demand
  - Papua gas demand
Supply-demand balances
- In this section
- LNG demand
  - Historical consumption
    - Historical LNG imports
  - Future outlook
  - Short term LNG outlook
  - Long term LNG outlook
  - Domestic market obligation and international supply
- West Java gas balance
  - West Java gas market balance
- Central and East Java gas balance
  - Central and East Java gas market balance
- Central and South Sumatra gas balance
  - Central and South Sumatra gas balance
  - Central and South Sumatra pipeline utilisation
- North Sumatra (Medan and Aceh) gas balance
  - North Sumatra gas balance
- Batam gas balance
  - Batam pipeline utilisation
- Kalimantan gas balance
  - Kalimantan gas market balance
- Sulawesi gas balance
  - Sulawesi gas balance
- Papua gas balance
  - Papua gas market balance
- Timor gas balance
  - Timor gas market balance
Prices
- In this section
- Current pricing trends
  - LNG contract prices
- Gas price forecast
- Upstream gas prices
- Midstream gas prices
  - Fertiliser gas prices - delivered (2015)