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Indonesia gas markets long-term outlook 2020

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16 October 2020

Indonesia gas markets long-term outlook 2020

Report summary

Gas demand stagnates due to the pandemic, with gas-to-power sector contracting by over 20%. However, this is only a short impact with economy expected to start recovery in 2021 and with it gas demand. Power sector continues to dominate the gas landscape, making up 58% of gas demand by 2040. LNG demand grows strongly from 2.9 mmtpa in 2018 to 3.7 mmtpa in 2019. We expect this to continue throughout the long-term with LNG demand reaching 39 mmtpa by 2040.

Table of contents

    • Covid-19 and start of new coal-fired power plants dampen gas demand growth in the near term; recovery is expected longer-term as the economy and power demand expands
    • Upstream development progress
    • Small-scale LNG projects gaining momentum
    • PERTAMINA-PGN merger slowly progressing
    • Pricing
    • Economic indicators
    • PERTAMINA
    • PGN
    • PLN
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Contracted supply
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Contracted supply
    • Uncontracted supply potential
    • Yet-to-find supply potential
    • Coal bed methane (CBM)
    • Shale gas
  • Appendix
  • Power generation
    • Gas aggregators
    • Ammonia/urea
    • Petrochemicals
    • Enhanced oil recovery
    • Refineries
    • Transport
    • Steel and smelters
  • Gas pipeline infrastructure: existing
    • Additional West Java infrastructure
    • Cilegon-Serpong
    • West Java Ring Lines 1-3
    • Muara Tawar-Tegal Gede and Cirebon-KHT
    • Additional Central/East Java infrastructure
    • East to West Java pipeline
    • Duri-Medan pipeline
    • Grissik-Palembang pipeline
    • Kalimantan to Java pipeline
  • LNG infrastructure
    • West Java gas market balance
    • Central and East Java gas market balance
    • Central and South Sumatra gas market balance
    • North Sumatra gas market balance
    • Batam gas market balance
    • Kalimantan gas market balance
    • Sulawesi gas balance
    • Papua gas market balance
    • Timor gas balance
    • Piped gas prices
    • Historical price trend
    • Recent price cap for industries
    • New price regulation for power
    • LNG contract prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 85 images and tables including:

  • Indonesia gas demand by sector
  • Indonesia gas demand by region
  • Indonesia gas market balance
  • Key changes to analysis from 2019 publication
  • GDP Forecast - Indonesia
  • Gas demand by sector
  • Java-Bali gas pipelines and fields
  • West Java supply demand gap
  • West Java gas balance
  • West Java pipeline utilisation (SSWJ*)
  • Indonesia gas reserves: top 20 reserve holders
  • PERTAMINA's business lines (2019)
  • PERTAMINA's gas production and distribution
  • PGN's business lines (2019)
  • PGN's gas production and distribution
  • PLN's revenue segment (2019)
  • PLN's power sales and gas consumption
  • Total potential gas supply available: Indonesia
  • Potential gas supply available: Java
  • West Java gas pipelines and fields
  • East Java gas pipelines and fields
  • Potential gas supply available: Sumatra and Natuna Sea
  • Central Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • South Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • North Sumatra/Aceh gas pipelines and fields
  • Potential gas supply available: Kalimantan
  • Potential gas supply available: rest of Indonesia
  • West Java total gas demand
  • West Java power sector gas users
  • West Java industry sector gas users
  • West Java gas demand
  • Central Java gas demand
  • East Java total gas demand
  • Central and East Java power sector gas users
  • Central and East Java industry sector gas users
  • Central and East Java gas demand
  • Central Sumatra gas demand
  • South Sumatra total gas demand
  • Central and South Sumatra power sector gas users
  • Central and South Sumatra industry sector gas users
  • Central and South Sumatra gas demand
  • Medan total gas demand
  • Aceh total gas demand
  • North Sumatra/Aceh power sector gas users
  • North Sumatra/Aceh industry sector gas users
  • North Sumatra/Aceh gas demand
  • Batam total gas demand
  • Batam power sector gas users
  • Batam industry sector gas users
  • Batam gas demand
  • Kalimantan total gas demand
  • Kalimantan power sector gas users
  • Kalimantan industry sector gas users
  • Kalimantan gas demand
  • Sulawesi total gas demand
  • Sulawesi power sector gas users
  • Sulawesi industry sector gas users
  • Sulawesi gas demand
  • ROI total gas demand
  • ROI power sector gas users
  • ROI industry sector gas users
  • ROI Gas Demand
  • Sumatra gas pipelines and fields
  • Central and East Java supply demand gap
  • Central and East Java gas balance
  • Central and East Java pipeline utilisation
  • Central and South Sumatra supply demand gap
  • Central and South Sumatra gas balance
  • Central and South Sumatra pipeline utilisation
  • North Sumatra/Aceh supply demand gap
  • North Sumatra gas balance
  • Batam supply demand gap
  • Batam gas balance
  • The Grissik-Singapore pipeline utilisation
  • Kalimantan supply demand gap
  • Kalimantan gas balance
  • Sulawesi supply demand gap
  • Sulawesi balance
  • Papua supply demand gap
  • Papua gas balance
  • Annual gas prices
  • Gas price outlook to power (Java)
  • Power gas prices (2020)
  • Industry gas prices (2020)
  • Fertiliser gas prices (2020)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Indonesia gas data.xls

    XLS 1.83 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia gas markets long-term outlook 2020

    PDF 4.85 MB