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Indonesia's 35 GW power programme: turning obstacles into opportunities
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Report summary
In January 2015, the Indonesian government launched the '35 GW Programme' to build a new wave of power plants across the country. The programme has a critical strategic significance given looming power shortages. However, 12 months into this programme and progress has been slow. Indeed, the experience of previous fast-track programmes shows the programme will face numerous challenges. Obstacles such as land acquisition can tie up developments for years. The government is hoping to encourage success and has initiated some streamlining measures in addition to market reforms. Significant opportunities exist for various players throughout the value chain - LNG and coal suppliers, EPC companies, power plant operators, and financial institutions. The programme sees a much greater role for independent power producers. But participants will need to understand which projects offer the best chance of being realised and how to mitigate the obstacles in their way.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Background
- Multiple opportunities across the value chain
-
How does the 35 GW programme differ from early schemes?
- An increasing role for gas...
- and lower expectations for renewables
- The role of PLN
- What is the process for building a power plant under the 35 GW programme?
-
What are the key challenges facing IPPs?
- 1. Land identification and acquisition
- 2. Financing and government guarantees
- 3. Fuel supply and infrastructure bottleneck
- 4. Bureaucracy and permit requirements
-
Navigating the opportunities
- Likely outcomes
- Conclusion
- APPENDIX
Tables and charts
This report includes 13 images and tables including:
- The 35 GW programme: geographical distribution, fuel mix and PLN/IPP split
- Typical Indonesian IPP project structure & key players (non exhaustive)
- International interest in the Java-1 CCGT & Java Bali-3 peaker projects*
- Indonesia's 35 GW power programme: turning obstacles into opportunities: Image 5
- Reference ceiling prices under MEMR regulation no. 3/2015
- Power project list - 35 GW programme
- Coal-fired power plant projects
- Gas-fired power plant projects
- Renewable power projects
- Capacity mix comparison
- PLN vs IPP
- Impact on coal demand
- Impact on LNG demand
What's included
This report contains:
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