Commodity Market Report

Italy gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019

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11 April 2019

Italy gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019

Report summary

Italy accounts for 15% of European natural gas demand. Demand picked up over the last few years and we expect continued growth in the short-term to offset the loss of coal-fired generation. The government released its National Energy plan for the next 10 years, which incorporates a phase out of coal by 2025. Italy imports around 90% of its gas needs. The country has some indigenous gas production but requires piped and LNG supply, predominantly from Russia, Algeria, Libya and Qatar. The new TAP (Trans Adriatic) pipeline, connecting Italy to Azerbaijan's Shah Deniz gas field will enhance supply options, with first gas expected mid-2020. Increased availability of supply into the Italian market puts the country in prime position to become an important gas hub. It also strengthens the position of Italian buyers as companies enter contract negotiations with the likes of Algeria to ensure closer alignment with hub prices.

Table of contents

  • Seasonality
  • Power
  • RCA
  • Industrial
  • Transport
    • TAP pipeline
  • LNG infrastructure
  • Storage infrastructure
  • Piped contracts
    • LNG Tariffs and Access
    • Transportation Tariffs and Access
    • Storage Access
    • Italian price forecast

Tables and charts

This report includes 21 images and tables including:

  • Historical gas demand (monthly)
  • Historical LNG Imports (monthly)
  • Gas demand by sector 2010 to 2040
  • Gas production profile 2010 to 2040
  • Gas Infrastructure
  • Import capacity
  • Export capacity
  • Pipeline capacity
  • LNG Regasification
  • Italian storage outlook
  • Historical piped imports
  • Contracted and flexible piped flows into Italy
  • Historical LNG imports
  • Contracted and flexible LNG flows into Italy
  • Supply demand gap
  • Gas flows into Italy
  • Contracted LNG import outlook
  • Contracted LNG import outlook
  • Long-run delivered cost of gas to Italy, 2030
  • Annual gas prices (real 2018)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Italy gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019

    ZIP 1.95 MB

  • Document

    Italy gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019.xlsx

    XLSX 425.13 KB

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