Commodity Market Report

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2019)

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The year 2019 has seen Asian spot LNG prices more than halve to eventually bottom out at an all-time low of $4.3/mmbtu in September. Many factors contributed to this, although low prices were largely a function of the ramp-up of new LNG supply, pushing large volumes of gas into the liquid, and increasingly saturated, European market. Now that the anticipated LNG oversupply has become a reality, we look at some interesting dynamics yet to play out: • Ukraine transit uncertainty vs. high European inventory • Price pressure on European gas market over next 24 months • Rising cash pressure on US tollers and offtakers • Accelerated anti-coal sentiment Find out how the global LNG market will balance over the next two years and what the implications are for prices.

Table of contents

  • The oversupplied LNG market enters its second year
  • NEW! The main deliverable is now in a presentation format

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What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    LNG short term trade and price outlook Q4 2019.xlsx

    XLSX 750.84 KB

  • Document

    LNG ST Demand - Q4 2019.pdf

    PDF 2.30 MB

  • Document

    LNG ST Outlook - Q4 2019.pdf

    PDF 1.33 MB