North America gas markets short-term outlook October 2015
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Report summary
A warmer than normal start to the winter could mask strong gas demand until late November or December. However, beyond the mild forecast for early November, demand could offer some support for prices. Overall demand—including feedgas for the Sabine Pass LNG export plant and exports to Mexico—through the winter is expected to climb by 5.7 bcfd, even though heating demand won't hit last year's mark if weather reverts to norms. As the weather turns colder, the impact of the low prices and coal unit retirements signal new record highs for gas burn, and industrial projects, once delayed, coming online, will add new gas demand.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
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Executive summary
- Winter Prices—some upside to NYMEX levels
- 2016—Surprisingly bullish
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Infrastructure
- Storage
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Supply
- Supply Details
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Demand
- Industrial
- Power
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LNG
- Sabine Pass
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Regional
- Northeast basis
Tables and charts
This report includes 13 images and tables including:
Images
- Key supply metrics and indicators
- Henry Hub price outlook
- Supply-demand imbalance neutral
- L48 Production Forecast
- Leading indicators
- Average power burn in October, 2014 vs 2015
- Daily nuclear generation – fall refueling season
- Northeast Supply short term supply and pipeline development
- LNG feed gas expectations
Tables
- Short term price outlook
- US supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
- US storage inventories (bcf)
- Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
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