Commodity Market Report

North America gas markets short-term outlook: Winter gas market ending before even starting?

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21 December 2020

North America gas markets short-term outlook: Winter gas market ending before even starting?

Report summary

A warm start to the winter and recent surge in US gas production has eroded the winter premium already. Winter is far from over, but early cold is vastly different from late cold for North America gas markets. However, supportive price levers are also occurring. • Lower Henry Hub prices are reducing the amount of coal-to-gas displacement expected to be backed out. • With higher global gas prices, the price differential between markets widen even further keeping US LNG well “in the money”. Meanwhile, regional gas markets in the Northeast and Permian have strengthened with winter demand and excess takeaway capacity will persist into 2021/2022 to support it.

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What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook

    XLS 177.50 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity

    XLSX 473.11 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve

    XLS 183.00 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook

    XLS 122.00 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook

    XLS 161.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances

    XLS 328.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail

    XLSX 291.39 KB

  • Document

    Basis Outlook

    XLS 115.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail

    XLS 801.50 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index

    XLS 116.50 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail Incl Export

    XLS 231.00 KB

  • Document

    North America Gas Markets Short Term Outlook Winter Gas Market Ending Before Even Starting

    PDF 4.49 MB