Power sector gas burn growth: decomposition of causes

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Report summary

Gas consumption in the power sector is expected to grow by 34% between 2013 and 2025, from 21.4 bcfd to 28.7 bcfd in the Lower-48 states. This represents both the largest absolute and percentage growth of all of the major demand sectors. To gain a better understanding of the sources of this growth, in this report we segregate the changes in gas burn into five distinct categories, estimate the contribution of each of these changes to the overall change in the gas burn, and analyze key risks...

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  • Document

    Power sector gas burn growth: decomposition of causes

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:


  • Chart 1. US Lower-48 power-sector gas burn
  • Chart 2. Drivers of gas burn change from 2013
  • Chart 3. Load growth history and outlook
  • Chart 4. Cumulative coal retirements
  • Chart 6. Gas and coal price forecast
  • Chart 7. Cost of electricity versus carbon price
  • Chart 8. Coal displacement versus coal-gas price ratio
  • Figure 1. RPS compliance outlook, 2025
  • Chart 5. Zero-carbon energy growth, average GW

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