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Decision to Lift: factors shaping US LNG offtake

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Report summary

US LNG exports have accelerated over the past year. Capacity at Sabine Pass Phases 1 & 2 will reach 2.5 bcfd (18 mmtpa) by mid 2017 and attention is now shifting to the buyers and their offtake decisions. The short term outlook raises uncertainties around capacity utilisation. The LNG market is oversupplied in the short term raising questions around utilisation. For the project's key customers Shell GNF KOGAS GAIL Total and Cheniere we assess their cost structures and portfolio balances market dynamics and other factors likely to shape decision making. This will be important to understand as other US facilities come online and more buyers are faced with similar choices in the years ahead.

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    Decision to Lift: factors shaping US LNG offtake

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Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

Images

  • Sabine Pass – contracted capacity by offtaker (2016 – 2018)
  • Offtaker Global Portfolio Balances and Costs (2018)
  • Cash costs of supply to northwest Europe: premium to Henry Hub*
  • Range of cash costs of US LNG to Europe (premium to Henry Hub) vs forecast NPB – Henry Hub differential*

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