Commodity Market Report

India LNG long-term outlook 2020

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26 November 2020

India LNG long-term outlook 2020

Report summary

India LNG long-term market report, including details of the LNG supply-demand balance, regas infrastructure, contract developments, policy and regulation. Key highlights this update include: - LNG annual demand growth is expected to be 5.2% from 2020 to 2030 and 6.7% from 2030 to 2040. - LNG regas nameplate capacity to increase from 42.5 mmtpa in 2020 to 69 mmtpa by 2025. - More than 14,000 km of natural gas pipelines are under construction and authorised in addition to the existing 19,000 km. In longer term, pipeline infrastructure development will be the key to driver for LNG and gas demand growth. - Domestic gas production will surge from the mid-2021 driven by deepwater projects, with production growing by about 15 bcm in 10 years from 2020 to 2030. This results in a more moderate pace of LNG demand growth during this period. - As contracts roll off from the mid-2020s, existing and emerging buyers will look to ensure supply security with new long-term volumes.

Table of contents

  • Highlights
  • Market overview
  • Infrastructure
  • Contracts
  • LNG Demand
  • Natural gas price
    • Dahej (17.5 mmtpa)
    • Hazira (5 mmtpa)
    • Dabhol (5 mmtpa nameplate, < 2 mmtpa effective)
    • Kochi (5 mmtpa nameplate, < 1 mmtpa effective)
    • Ennore (5 mmtpa nameplate, < 1 mmtpa effective)
    • Mundra (5 mmtpa nameplate, < 2 mmtpa effective)
    • Jaigarh (Maharashtra, West India)
    • Dhamra (Odisha, East India)
    • Swan LNG/ Jafrabad FSRU (Gujarat, West India)
    • Chahra LNG terminal (Gujarat, West India)
    • Karaikal (Tamil Nadu, South India)
    • Haldia (West Bengal, east India)
  • Regasification tariffs
  • Natural gas pipelines
  • Contracts renegotiation
  • Recent contracts
  • Equity LNG
  • Gas Demand
  • Short-term LNG outlook
  • Medium- and long-term LNG outlook
  • Gas/LNG demand sensitivity
  • Regulatory overview
  • Third party access
  • Natural gas exploration and production boosted
  • Natural gas pricing
  • Domestic Gas allocation policy
  • Environmental Regulations
  • Key challenges
  • Upside to LNG demand
  • Downside risks to LNG demand
  • What to watch in India gas and LNG industry

Tables and charts

This report includes 16 images and tables including:

  • Gas Overview
  • LNG Overview
  • India Regas Terminals
  • LNG import terminals
  • Key Gas Pipelines
  • LNG SPA Contracts
  • Contracted Supply vs Regas Capacity
  • Domestic Gas Supply
  • Supply Demand Balance
  • Historical LNG imports
  • Seasonal Profile
  • Contracted volumes versus LNG demand
  • Gas Pricing

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    01_data_india_2020.xls

    XLS 454.50 KB

  • Document

    India LNG long-term outlook 2020

    PDF 1.82 MB