Insight
China slowdown: why this time is different
Report summary
China is now world's second largest economy. Its energy economy is twice the size it was in 2008 but faces a number of challenges which are compounded by the trade disputes with the US. In this insight, we discuss China's commodity demand, how it has changed since 2008 and the short-term impact on oil, gas and coal. We also discuss the longer-term issues that might arise due to the current slowdown.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- 1. China 2008 vs China 2019: size matters
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2. Old tricks to spur economic growth unlikely to work this time
- What options does the government have?
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3. Short-term impact on commodities: not quite so simple
- Thermal coal
- Oils and refining
- Gas and LNG
- 4. Long-term implications: new demand patterns will emerge
Tables and charts
This report includes 3 images and tables including:
- China imports share in domestic demand
- China imports share in global trade
- Annual demand change for key commodities – base case vs low GDP, Mt
What's included
This report contains:
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