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7 Pages

China's rising debt: double, double, toil and trouble?

China's rising debt: double, double, toil and trouble?

Report summary

China’s total debt level has almost doubled in a decade, rising from around 100% of GDP in the early 2000s to 200% in 2012. The sharp rise in debt accumulation across all three sectors of the economy (government, corporate and household) has raised concerns, both in terms of macroeconomic and financial risks.

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  • China's rising debt: double, double, toil and trouble? PDF - 524.51 KB 7 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures


This Macroeconomics and Global Trends Insight report presents our research on this key topic, and draws out the implications for economies and commodity markets.

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  • Executive summary
  • China’s rising debt
  • In the shadows
    • How big is the shadow in China?
    • The rise of shadow banking: all bad?
    • China's total debt: does it stack up?
    • What is the risk of a US-like subprime crisis in China?
    • Repeat of the Asian Financial Crisis?
    • So is China's debt a problem?

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • China’s rising debt
  • In the shadows
    • Composition of China's total social financing
    • China's shadow banking system continues to grow
    • Estimates of the shadow banking system in key economies, 2011
    • Real negative deposit interest rates
    • China's debt by sector (% of GDP)
    • Debt and savings level of key economies
    • Rapid rise of debt preceding crises
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