Guangdong is China's largest province by GDP and population. As China's manufacturing and business hub in the South, Guangdong's economic outlook is challenged by the slowdown of export-oriented industries and increasing labour cost. Overall, Guangdong's growth potential is forecast to be modest, with a CAGR of 5.3% between 2013 and 2035.
This report includes 2 file(s)
Guangdong long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 286.16 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
China Provincial GDP Population Urbanisation Mar 2014.xls XLS - 659.00 KB
This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.
Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.
The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.
Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.
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Commodity market report | May 2014
Guangdong long-term economic outlook Q1 2014
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