Commodity Market Report

Global cathode and precursor market strategic planning outlook - Q1 2022

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In 2022, spot prices for cathode materials continue to surge driven by the high prices of battery raw materials. Nickel prices advanced to an annual average of almost US$18,500/t, a level not seen since 2011. On 8 March 2022, the world’s pricing mechanism for nickel – the London Metal Exchange – “failed” as a short squeeze took prices on the electronic trading platform above US$101,000/t. We believe “normal” nickel prices will return as Indonesian nickel pushes the market into surplus from 2023 to 2025. But the long-term increase in nickel usage and the difficulty in quickly ramping-up production are quite likely to lead to a more pronounced turn to high-manganese and LFP cathode chemistries, which are less nickel-concentrated but exhibit good performance. Outside of Asia, countries have been striving to develop localised battery supply chains and cathode processing facilities.

Table of contents

    • LFP cathode materials market outlook
    • Precursor market outlook
    • Nickel-based cathode market outlook
    • LMO cathode market outlook
    • LCO cathode market outlook
    • Precursor materials price forecast
    • NCM cathode materials price forecast
    • LFP cathode materials price forecast
    • LCO cathode materials price forecast
    • LMO cathode materials price forecast
  • Global outlook
    • The automotive sector
    • The energy storage system (ESS) sector
    • The portable electronics sector
    • The power device sector
    • The motive product sector
    • LFP supply
    • Precursor supply
    • Nickel-based cathode supply
    • NCA cathode
    • NCM series cathode
    • LCO cathode supply
    • LMO cathode supply

Tables and charts

This report includes 51 images and tables including:

  • Cathode materials demand by application, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • LFP cathode materials market balance, 2020-2050
  • Precursor production vs demand
  • Precursor market balance
  • Nickel-based cathode production vs demand
  • Nickel-based cathode market balance
  • NCM series cathode market balance
  • NCA cathode market balance
  • LMO cathode market balance
  • LCO cathode market balance
  • NCM precursor price forecast, 2021-2050
  • NCM cathodes price forecast, 2021-2050
  • Comparison of NCM cathode materials unit energy cost (US$/kWh)
  • Cost comparison of NCM811 and high-manganese cathodes
  • LFP cathode raw materials cost by synthesis method
  • LFP cathode price forecast, 2021-2050
  • High-voltage LCO cathode price forecast, 2021-2050
  • Low-voltage LCO cathode price forecast, 2021-2050
  • LMO cathode price forecast, 2021-2050
  • Cathode materials demand from passenger and commercial EVs, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • Cathode chemistry split in electric vehicles using battery technologies, 2020-2050
  • Automotive sales outlook by powertrain type, 2020-2050 (million units)
  • Energy storage technology split
  • Cathode materials demand from energy storage systems using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • Cathode chemistry split in energy storage systems using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050
  • Cathode materials demand from portable electronics using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • Cathode chemistry split in portable electronics using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050
  • Cathode materials demand from motive products using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • Cathode chemistry split in power devices using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050
  • Cathode materials demand from motive products using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050 (kt)
  • Cathode chemistry split in motive products using Li-ion technologies, 2020-2050
  • LFP cathode capacity, by source
  • The existing capacity of LFP cathode materials by region, 2020-2050
  • New projects& expansion capacity of LFP cathode materials by region, 2020-2050
  • LFP cathode materials production split by country, 2020-2050
  • Precursor capacity, by source
  • Precursor existing capacity, by geography
  • PCAM new projects& expansion capacity, by geography
  • Precursor production, by type
  • Precursor production, by country
  • Precursor production, by owner
  • Cumulative production from offtake agreements (%)
  • NCM&NCA capacity, by source
  • New NCM&NCA projects& expansion, by geography
  • NCM&NCA production, by type
  • NCM series cathode supply, by geography
  • NCA cathode supply, by geography
  • NCM&NCA production, by owner
  • China NCM cathode production, by Ni content
  • LCO production, by geography
  • LMO production, by geography

What's included

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    Global cathode and precursor market strategic planning outlook - Q1 2022

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