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Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?

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23 January 2017

Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?

Report summary

The copper semis market in China has been enjoying robust growth since the new millennium driven by a growing domestic end-use market and the desire to replace imported copper semis. On the back of low barriers to entry and high profitability, it comes as no surprise that the country's semi-fabricating industry has reached a state of overcapacity similar to many other Chinese industries. However, more than 2Mt of new capacity came online in 2016. At the same time, China's second-largest copper tube producer announced plans for five new copper tube plants in China, Vietnam and the US with a total incremental capacity of 275 kt. In this insight we will examine the market from three perspectives – production, capacity and trade – to explain why we believe there is no need for further capacity additions in the semis fabricating industry, at least, not until 2035. This assumes the country will continue to fulfil its requirements for copper semis with its domestic production.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Setting the scene
  • Developments in the copper semis market in China
  • Copper semis production 2015 vs 2035
    • China's requirement for copper and copper alloy semis in 2035 can be fulfilled by 2015 capacity
    • New plants and projects in China
    • China has been a net importer of copper semis for the past 15 years
    • China's net export of copper semis
  • Conclusions

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • China: Semis production by semis type 2015 vs. 2035
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Image 2
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Image 3
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Table 1
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Image 4
  • China's copper tube export 2008 vs. 2015
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Image 6
  • Does China's copper semis market need more capacity?: Image 7

What's included

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  • Document

    Does China's copper semis market need more capacity

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