Commodity Market Report
Global lead long-term outlook Q1 2020
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
The coronavirus pandemic dominates short-term supply and demand changes but also impacts the medium term for lead markets. We have revised our mine output down by 8.2% for this year with the temporary idling of many mines across the world. But the greater proportion of supply coming from secondary sources - which are less affected by the crisis - means demand is relatively even more curtailed. We have reduced global consumption by 670 kt for this year, which contributes to a forecast 690 kt surplus in 2020. However, much of this is demand deferral, rather than destruction, leading to a rebound of +7.4% year-on-year growth in 2021. Medium- and long-term growth prospects still look healthy at 1.4% pa and 1.8% pa respectively.
Table of contents
- Demand outlook
- Supply outlook
- Market balance and price outlook
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Changes since Q4 2019
- Market and demand changes
- Supply-side changes
- Beyond coronavirus: supply chain diversification in the long run
- Overview
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Asia
- China
- India
- Japan
- Europe
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North America
- US
- Mexico
- Latin America
- Other regions
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Regional mine production capability
- Africa
- Asia
- Asian lead mine capability
- Europe
- Latin America
- Middle East
- North America
- Oceania
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Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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Global lead demand, 1990 to 2040Global refined lead supply-demand balance and priceGlobal refined lead stocks and price
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Global lead consumptionIndustrial dominates with increased auto importsAuto replacement further declines due to importsEuropean lead consumptionLatin American lead consumptionMiddle East lead consumptionOceania lead consumptionGlobal refined lead production capabilityLead key forecasts
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What's included
This report contains:
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