Commodity Market Report
Global lead long-term outlook Q4 2019
Report summary
Global mine supply growth will remain modest in the medium term, increasing by just 0.4% pa for 2020-2025, although this comes after contracting by 1.1% pa from 2014-2019. We have substantially cut our supply forecast for the two largest mining operations and assumed other supply losses as a result of high zinc TCs acting as a disincentive to lead/zinc miners. Consumption will recover after contracting this year to average 1.4% pa growth for 2020-2025, with India one of the key and consistent drivers. The maturing Chinese lead market is now increasingly aligned with general global market trends. The phenomenally high demand growth of the past two decades has subsided as the country's economic expansion has slowed. Consequently, China will only manage 1.1% pa growth for 2020-2025. However, an improvement in European auto demand has allowed us to slightly lift our overall demand forecast compared with the Q3 LTO.
Table of contents
- Key points
- Demand – what's changed?
- Supply - what's changed?
Tables and charts
No table or charts specified
What's included
This report contains:
Other reports you may be interested in
Commodity Market Report
Global lead short-term outlook April 2024
A third consecutive month of minimal Chinese exports is supportive of prices that have lifted alongside a surge in cancelled LME warrants.
$5,000
Commodity Market Report
Global cathode and precursor short-term outlook April 2024
April 2024 updates for the cathode and precursor markets. Covers; prices, supply, demand, and recent news and events
$5,000
Commodity Market Report
Global noble steel alloys short-term outlook April 2024
Wood Mackenzie's latest short-term view on the molybdenum, niobium and vanadium markets.
$5,000