Commodity Market Report

Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2018

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Report summary

The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2035. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. This structural issue has played a pivotal role in the zinc price climbing to its highest level for 10 years in recent months.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q1 2018.pdf

    PDF 1.49 MB

  • Document

    Zinc Tables LTO Q1 2018.pdf

    PDF 2.64 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 638.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand main changes zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 240.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 1.39 MB

  • Document

    Production rankings zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 156.00 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 7.74 MB

  • Document

    Supply main changes zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 187.50 KB

  • Document

    Mine analysis zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 2.45 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 3.20 MB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2018

    PDF 4.31 MB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2018

    ZIP 11.00 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.34 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 3.08 MB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 961.30 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 314.15 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 49 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Sources of future supply
  • Price forecasts and refined marked balances
  • Concentrate market balances
  • Comparison of base case and scenario outcomes
  • China totally dominates global zinc consumption
  • Asia (ex-China) consumption
  • European zinc consumption will stagnate
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • Mine adjustment breakdown
  • African zinc mine production
  • Asian zinc mine production
  • Supply: Table 5
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Supply: Table 7
  • Supply: Table 8
  • Supply: Table 9
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Supply: Table 12
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Supply: Table 15
  • Supply: Table 16
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Supply: Table 18
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Supply: Table 20
  • Supply: Table 21
  • Supply: Table 22

Images

  • Manufacturing activity in all of the world's major economies is expanding
  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global slowdown a risk
  • The need to lighten cars helped reduce zinc's intensity of use
  • Exchange stocks and price
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1950- 2035
  • Forecast stocks and prices
  • US$ Trade Weighted Index versus zinc price with TWI averages
  • Zinc price forecasts (nominal $/t)
  • Zinc price forecasts (real $/t)
  • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
  • Indian first use is dominated by galvanizing
  • Manufacturing is expanding in most of Europe
  • European construction is picking up
  • The only certain impact of tariffs and trade barriers is higher galvanized sheet prices
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 9

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