Insight

Steel trade cases in the EU

09 March 2016

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09 March 2016

Steel trade cases in the EU

Report summary

The provisional anti-dumping duties announced against Chinese and Russian imports of rebar and cold rolled coil into the European Union are likely to reduce import volumes from those countries. The void they leave is more likely to be filled by other non-EU suppliers rather than by an increase in EU production volumes. Exports of rebar and cold rolled coil produced within the EU and destined for non-EU markets are likely to fall. We do not expect prices to recover.

Executive summary
Background
Duties' effects: will imports fall?
- Rebar and CRC are no GOES
- Evidence points to a fall of imports
- Other importers will fill the void
What does it all mean for EU producers?
- Support is not guaranteed
- Exporting outside the EU will be tougher
Duty support to prices unlikely to be strong

Tables and charts

This report includes 15 images and tables including:

Figure 1: EU imports by origin 2010-2014
Figure 2: EU imports of CRC by origin 2012-2015
Table 1:Details of the AD cases resulting in the imposition of duties still in force

Table 2: A summary of the observed effects of trade cases
Figure 12: EU rebar prices and trade defence
Figure 13: EU rebar price premia and trade defence
Steel trade cases in the EU: Image 5
Figure 4: EU imports of wire rod
Figure 5: EU steel demand growth 2005-2015
Figure 6: EU imports of welded pipes by origin
Figure 7: EU imports of seamless pipes by origin
Figure 8: EU imports of certain seamless products by origin (China case)
Figure 9: EU imports of certain seamless products by origin (ex-China case)
Figure 10: EU steel trade following sanctions
Figure 11: EU exports of wire rod and organic coated