Insight

Where next for China's alumina capacity growth?

04 October 2018

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04 October 2018

Where next for China's alumina capacity growth?

Report summary

Will China continue to dominate global alumina capacity growth in the future? Against a backdrop of tighter environmental regulations and increasing reliance on seaborne bauxite, we see growing potential for China to look offshore. Wood Mackenzie investigates the merits for continued Chinese-based alumina capacity growth against that located in bauxite-rich producer countries on an illustrative cost and cash flow basis.

Cash cost analysis of refinery by location
- Appendix

Tables and charts

This report includes 6 images and tables including:

Average cash costs in period 2018-2050, US$/t (real 2018)
Cumulative margin (M1) in period 2018-2050, US$ billion (real 2018)
Total capex for phase one (including sustaining capital) in period 2018-2050, US$ billion (real 2018)

Cumulative total margin less total capex in period 2018-2050, US$ billion (real 2018)
Net present value under differing discount rates
Start up capex estimates