Macro Oils long-term outlook H2 2020
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Report summary
Table of contents
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Global supply: US onshore bears the brunt of downgrades through the 2020s
- Non-OPEC supply: downgrades to US lower 48 offset by conventional upgrades longer term
- US Lower 48: lower growth pushed further into the future
- Upward revisions dominate conventional production in the longer-term
- OPEC long-term capacity increases despite downward revisions
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Global demand: global liquids demand reaches a peak after 2035 and turns to structural decline during the 2040s
- Sector demand trends
- Fuel demand from light vehicles
- Risks to global liquids demand
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