Commodity Market Report

Macro oils short-term outlook: February 2017 oil price forecast

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The relative stability in the oil market belies the significant shifts we are seeing in the supply data. With US production ramping up, and some other producers expected to produce more than previously forecast, the market looks oversupplied into 2018. This has led to a change in our outlook for OPEC – we now assume OPEC's current production cut agreement will be rolled over in May to support price stability through H2 2017. Into 2018, against a backdrop of slowing global demand growth, rapid growth in production volumes will inevitably put downward pressure on prices.

Table of contents

    • Non-OPEC Supply – USA : drill baby drill
    • OPEC Supply: committed to stability
    • Global demand: weak growth in 2018 puts additional pressure on prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 1 images and tables including:

  • Brent price outlook (nominal)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 Executive Summary.pdf

    PDF 286.96 KB

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 slide pack.pdf

    PDF 2.36 MB

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 price outlook.xls

    XLS 269.50 KB

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 supply demand.xls

    XLS 996.50 KB

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 US dollar.xls

    XLS 1.37 MB

  • Document

    Macro oils short term outlook Feb 2017 slide charts.xlsx

    XLSX 356.61 KB

  • Document

    Macro oils short-term outlook: February 2017 oil price forecast

    ZIP 3.27 MB