Commodity Market Report

China power markets long-term outlook H1 2015

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08 July 2015

China power markets long-term outlook H1 2015

Report summary

In the last half of 2014, power demand grew at the slowest pace in the last 10 years largely due to a significant slowdown in industrial power demand.  The environment continues to be a top political priority, creating a set of fast moving policy developments that add further uncertainty to China's long term fuel mix.

Table of contents

    • Near- and medium-term power demand growth remains ‘soft’
    • Transmission to become more robust in favour of renewable generation
    • Key data tables
    • Key facts and changes
  • Economic outlook
    • Environmental and energy policies
      • Market reform
    • Direct power sales
    • Market structure
      • Regional grids
      • Generation
  • Demand
    • Coal
      • Gas
    • Hydro-- run-of-river and reservoir
    • Hydro-- pumped storage
    • Nuclear
    • Wind
    • Solar
    • Total power generation
    • Reserve margin
    • Power Infrastructure
      • Power transmission
      • Power flows
    • On-grid tariffs
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 36 images and tables including:

  • Economic Indicators
  • Forecast power demand vs. GDP
  • Forecast power demand vs. elasticity
  • Forecast power demand by region
  • Historical power consumption by region
  • Historical power consumption by sector
  • Forecast monthly power demand by region
  • Forecast monthly power demand by fuel
  • 2014 installed capacity by region
  • 2014 installed capacity by fuel
  • China key power demand uncertainties
  • China key power supply uncertainties
  • China power available capacity
  • China power market balance
  • China gas demand
  • Key facts in power market regulation
  • Key changes to power analysis from H2 2014 publication
  • Pollutant discharge standards for coal-fired plants
  • Installed capacity by fuel 2014-2035
  • Installed capacity by region 2014-2035
  • Solar capacity by region
  • Solar capacity by technology
  • Power generation by fuel
  • Power generation by region
  • Installed capacity grid reserve margin
  • De-rated grid reserve margin with transmissions
  • Incremental capacity by fuel
  • Power plant investment by fuel
  • Historical on-grid tariff by fuel
  • Historical on-grid tariff by region
  • Major players in China's power generation market 2014 (MW)
  • The Big Five Gencos' capacity by fuel type in 2014
  • Gas demand in power by region
  • China inter-regional key power transmission infrastructure by 2020
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    China Power Data.xls

    XLS 786.50 KB

  • Document

    China power markets long-term outlook H1 2015

    PDF 8.23 MB

  • Document

    China power markets long-term outlook H1 2015

    ZIP 8.41 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 105.10 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 59.73 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 121.33 KB

  • Document


    PDF 166.85 KB

  • Document


    PDF 177.49 KB

  • Document


    PDF 361.52 KB

  • Document


    PDF 91.12 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 7.55 MB