Name: NYMEX sensitivity case developed from the Mexico gas, power and renewables Strategic Planning Outlook 2024
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 173541
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Author: Wood Mackenzie

Commodity Market Report 11 June 2024

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            <h3 class="mega store_featured_content_extrabold store_font_black">Report summary</h3>
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This “NYMEX” case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and its impact on our long-term outlook on Mexico’s power sector. Wood Mackenzie’s gas price forecast – used as a primary input in our Base Case (Mexico gas, power and renewables strategic planning outlook) sees rising exports and resilient US domestic demand projected to drive Henry Hub prices above US$3.50/MMBtu by 2026, maintaining relative stability for the subsequent decade. This market expansion will be balanced by increasing associated supply and contributions from top-tier non-associated supply plays. However, accelerated depletion of low-cost supply, driven by robust market growth, is expected to lead to higher prices in the 2040s. Nonetheless, NYMEX gas forwards consider a much flatter trend, remaining closer to the US$3.0/MMBtu mark in the long term.</div>
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                    <h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Table of contents</h3>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        This NYMEX case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook.
    </li>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Tables and charts</h3>

<p class="push-half--bottom">This report includes the following images and tables:</p>

<ul class="list list--bullets">
        <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">NYMEX vs. Wood Mackenzie’s Henry Hub gas price forecast</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Annual average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Annual and Monthly Energy Prices’ Absolute Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Annual and Monthly Energy Prices’ Percentage Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)</li>
    </ul>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom ">What's included</h3>
<p class="push-half--bottom ">This report contains:</p>
<ul class="list"><li class="list__item-icon push-half--bottom"><svg class="list__image-icon" width="13.9" height="17.2" viewBox="0 0 13.9 17.2"><title>Document</title><g fill="#232323"><path d="M13.8 3.5L10.3.2c-.1-.2-.2-.2-.3-.2H1.5C.7 0 0 .7 0 1.5v14.2c0 .8.7 1.5 1.5 1.5h10.9c.8 0 1.5-.7 1.5-1.6V3.8c0-.1 0-.2-.1-.3zm-3.4-1.8l1.7 1.6h-1.7V1.7zm2 14.4H1.5c-.2 0-.5-.2-.5-.5V1.5c0-.2.3-.5.5-.5h7.8v2.9c0 .2.2.5.5.5h3.1v11.3c0 .2-.2.4-.5.4z"></path><path d="M11.1 6.3H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5s.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5s-.3-.5-.5-.5zM11.1 12.6H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5-.1-.3-.3-.5-.5-.5zM3.7 10.4H11c.3 0 .6-.2.5-.5 0-.2-.2-.5-.5-.5H3.6c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.6.5z"></path></g></svg>
<p class="font-regular" >Power NYMEX Avg Day Month 6 11 2024.xlsx</p>
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    <span>XLSX</span>
    <span>4.24 MB</span>
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