Commodity Market Report
NYMEX sensitivity case developed from the Mexico gas, power and renewables Strategic Planning Outlook 2026
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
This “NYMEX” case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook. Wood Mackenzie’s gas price forecast – a key component of our Base Case (Mexico, gas, power and renewables strategic planning outlook 2026) projects lower Henry Hub prices later this decade underpinned by an expanded low cost resource base across the United States averaging a price of around US$4.19/MMBtu by 2030. The growth rate steepens for the late 2030’s with prices averaging US$5.30/MMBtu.
Table of contents
- This NYMEX case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook.
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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NYMEX vs. Wood Mackenzie’s Henry Hub gas price forecastAnnual average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)Annual and Monthly Energy Prices' Absolute Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)Annual and Monthly Energy Prices' Percentage Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs Base Case)
What's included
This report contains:
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