Refining in Latin America: long term implications of a short-term crisis

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30 July 2020

Refining in Latin America: long term implications of a short-term crisis

Report summary

This insight follows up our H1 2020 long-term outlook for refined products in Latin America. The regional response to the coronavirus pandemic was fast, with rapid lockdowns restrictions, but demand was more resilient than in other regions, at least initially. The refining sector fell alongside with demand and has already started the road to recover. But the on-going threat to refining operations in the medium-term comes from the weaker economic environment. This report highlights the key themes in the refining sector in Latin America through 2040, focusing on the following: How refiners will be impacted by the bleak economic outlook in Latin America? How has the Covid-19 crisis reshaped demand in the region? How long it will take to recover? When will crude runs recover? How far up they can go? Will refiners benefit from new crude production? Is the current crisis accentuating Latin America's import dependence for gasoline and diesel?

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