Country Report

Global oil supply short-term update - January 2019

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The global oil supply monthly report provides analysis on short-term global oil supply through 2020. The written document is accompanied by a related excel data download. Supply growth is expected to slow in 2019. After an estimated increase of 2.5 million b/d in 2018, global supply is forecast to grow 1.4 million b/d in 2019 and 1.8 million b/d in 2020 – assuming OPEC continues to restrain production through end-2020. Notably, non-OPEC supply is forecast to grow 2.3 million b/d in 2019 and 2.0 million b/d in 2020 (despite a slight downward adjustment for total non-OPEC supply of 110 kb/d in 2019 and 100 kb/d in 2020) making the OPEC+ cuts critical to prevent significant oversupply.

Table of contents

    • Supply growth is slowing into 2019
    • OPEC: steep fall in output as production cut agreement implemented
      • OPEC Crude Oil Supply (million b/d)
    • Risked outlook for Libya remains justified as El Sharara field is shut-in

Tables and charts

This report includes 1 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Image 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global oil supply data January 2019.xls

    XLS 362.00 KB