Name: Kazakhstan’s gas outlook: has it overcommitted to China?
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 116320
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Author: Wood Mackenzie

Insight 13 September 2019

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            <h3 class="mega store_featured_content_extrabold store_font_black">Report summary</h3>
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Kazakhstan’s gas sector is coming of age. In 2018, state-owned KazTransGas signed a five-year export deal to deliver up to 1.0 bcfd (10 bcm per year) to China in 2019-23. The scale of the new export commitment cannot be overstated. It represents nearly one-third of Kazakhstan’s marketed gas output and is almost on par with current domestic demand (1.5 bcfd). This has led to concerns – in both Kazakhstan and China – about the Central Asian producer’s ability to deliver on the contract in full.</div>
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                    <h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Table of contents</h3>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Executive summary
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        A new piece of the China gas supply mix
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#2183f53f-ba5e-4a85-9292-5232d906fef9" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="2183f53f-ba5e-4a85-9292-5232d906fef9" aria-expanded="false">
            Volume growth, but an increasingly blurry strategy
        </a>
        <ul id="2183f53f-ba5e-4a85-9292-5232d906fef9" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Where will further growth come from?
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Tengizchevroil
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Karachaganak
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Kashagan
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#a6bf794a-f3f2-4165-9c00-ec72b02db104" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="a6bf794a-f3f2-4165-9c00-ec72b02db104" aria-expanded="false">
            Gas economics are still a work in progress
        </a>
        <ul id="a6bf794a-f3f2-4165-9c00-ec72b02db104" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        A lack of commercial incentives
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        A range of commercial obstacles
    </li>

</ul>
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<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#c351718f-8571-49e9-9efd-8cd86db0fab7" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="c351718f-8571-49e9-9efd-8cd86db0fab7" aria-expanded="false">
            Conclusion: a new roadmap is needed
        </a>
        <ul id="c351718f-8571-49e9-9efd-8cd86db0fab7" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Price transparency and incremental reform
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Incentives for upstream cooperation
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Evaluation of new approaches
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Tables and charts</h3>

<p class="push-half--bottom">This report includes the following images and tables:</p>

<ul class="list list--bullets">
         <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Central Asia gas flows to China – base case</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Kazakh gas – overview of flows</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Model non-associated gas field – economic scenarios</li>
     </ul>
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            View more tables and charts in this report
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        <ul class="list list--bullets panel-toggle" id="cb203eadc7144aec82b7ea9020190470">
            <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Kazakh gas outlook (production and sales)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Economics of Kazakh gas supply to China</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Kazakhstan – key pre-FID gas resource opportunities</li>
        </ul>
        
    </div>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom ">What's included</h3>
<p class="push-half--bottom ">This report contains:</p>
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<p class="font-regular" >Kazakhstan’s gas outlook: has it overcommitted to China?</p>
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