Kazakhstan’s gas outlook: has it overcommitted to China?

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Kazakhstan’s gas sector is coming of age. In 2018, state-owned KazTransGas signed a five-year export deal to deliver up to 1.0 bcfd (10 bcm per year) to China in 2019-23. The scale of the new export commitment cannot be overstated. It represents nearly one-third of Kazakhstan’s marketed gas output and is almost on par with current domestic demand (1.5 bcfd). This has led to concerns – in both Kazakhstan and China – about the Central Asian producer’s ability to deliver on the contract in full.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 6 images and tables including:

  • Central Asia gas flows to China – base case
  • Kazakh gas – overview of flows
  • Model non-associated gas field – economic scenarios
  • Kazakh gas outlook (production and sales)
  • Economics of Kazakh gas supply to China
  • Kazakhstan – key pre-FID gas resource opportunities

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Kazakhstan’s gas outlook: has it overcommitted to China?

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