Insight
NGL supply - less than meets the eye?
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
We all know that a typical gas well's Gas-Oil ratio (GOR) increases over its lifetime, but how does this phenomenon impact NGL production from unconventional reservoirs? By our estimates, a downside risk of 385,000 b/d in the long term NGL production forecast and up to 40% reductions in well NPV10 in some areas. The impacts also extend to asset valuations in the burgeoning midstream and petrochemical sectors in the US.
Table of contents
- Executive Summary
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The prospect of declining NGL yields
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Liquids-rich plays are the big story in US NGL production
- Base case NGL production from unconventional plays in the US
- Potential to overlook key physical phenomena
- A scenario of declining NGL yields
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Modelling the NGL supply risk
- Original and modified NGL decline curves for a well
- Original and revised NGL production estimates under current scenario
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Key Implications
- Base case and downside case NPV10 of type wells in various sub-plays
- Conclusions
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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NGL supply - less than meets the eye?: Image 1NGL supply - less than meets the eye?: Image 2NGL supply - less than meets the eye?: Image 3NGL supply - less than meets the eye?: Image 4
What's included
This report contains:
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