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Russian Federation: what next for Power of Siberia 2?

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Gazprom has been keen to sign a gas sales agreement for the Power of Siberia 2 (PoS 2) pipeline. A deal will replace some of the lost revenues from the European market but not all. Progress in striking a deal has been slow. Neither Russia nor China is prepared to commit this year. But eventually we think both sides will reach an agreement when the time, volume and price is right. We address the key points for Gazprom/CNPC gas relationship over the coming decade: • Gas export volume – by how much can exports to China grow in the long term? • Timing – when will both sides reach an agreement? • Price negotiations – how much is China prepared to pay? • Competition – what competitive threats are there to PoS 2?

Table of contents

    • A brief history of the Russia/China gas relationship and what next?
    • PoS 2 – what’s in it for Russia?
    • PoS 2 – what’s in it for China?
    • PoS 2 – what’s in it for Mongolia?
    • What about price?
    • What competitive threats are there to PoS 2?
    • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 6 images and tables including:

  • Power of Siberia 2 resource base
  • Russia gas pipeline routes
  • Russia piped exports to China
  • Zapolyarnoye NPV,10 analysis
  • Zapolyarnoye delivered costs to China border
  • Piped gas exports to China, %

What's included

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  • Document

    Russian Federation: what next for Power of Siberia 2?

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