Name: What next for Algeria after Bouteflika?
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 111502
Price: 1350 USD
Availability: OnlineOnly
Author: Wood Mackenzie

Insight 12 June 2019

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Report summary

Political stability continues to evade Algeria as mass protests show no sign of abating. The political turmoil comes at a critical time for Algeria’s oil and gas sector, which has stagnated over the past decade. So far, there has been no impact on oil and gas production. The outlook for Algeria’s upstream sector is ultimately negative for the remainder of 2019 and much of 2020 irrespective of whether the country’s current transitional leadership can outlast the protest movement. Recent personnel changes will not counter the political disruption which will add to sectoral inertia, tempering expectations for fiscal reform.

How we got here
Political risks acute for the next 18 months
Transition reaches Sonatrach
Algeria's upstream waiting game continues
Narrow macroeconomic room for manoeuvre
Gas: a dimmed future?
Uneven gas flows as struggling foreign policy
Upstream sector will be overshadowed by struggle for survival

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

Probability of Gaid Salah becoming Algeria's presidentAlgeria gas supply v domestic demand (2010-2030)Algeria's gas supply-domestic demand (2010-2030)