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What would a Bolsonaro presidential victory mean for the Brazilian energy sector?

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Jair Bolsonaro, right-wing candidate from the Social Liberal Party (PSL) is poised to win Brazil’s presidential election on 28 October. In this joint report from Wood Mackenzie and our sister company, Verisk Maplecroft, we analyse both candidates’ energy proposals with an emphasis on how a Bolsonaro victory could impact the Brazilian energy landscape. A joint review from Wood Mackenzie and Maplecroft analysing the impact of the Brazilian presidential election on the energy landscape.

Table of contents

  • Reforms will reduce macroeconomic risk at the cost of greater social and environmental risk
  • Bolsonaro expected to continue current E&P policies
  • Downstream: if refinery divestment is the goal, fuel pricing policies need to return to international parity
  • Natural gas and power regulatory reforms are likely to continue but asset divestments could be affected

Tables and charts

This report includes 6 images and tables including:

  • Second round Brazilian presidential election prediction
  • Senate composition
  • Chamber of deputies
  • Top 10 acreage holders in the Campos and Santos basins
  • Current refinery divestment plan and net cash margin by refineries (2017)
  • Gas value chain mainly affected by regulatory reform

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    What would a Bolsonaro presidential victory mean for the Brazilian energy sector?

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