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Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015

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23 September 2015

Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015

Report summary

The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2035. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. This structural issue could be exacerbated by the recent retreat in the zinc price which will make raising the funds to develop new mines more difficult and increases the risk of the unplanned near-term closure of existing zinc mines owing to poor profitability.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Overview
      • China
      • USA
      • First use
      • End use
    • Mine Production
      • Overview
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Europe
      • Latin America
    • Zinc market dynamic
    • Supply and Demand - Base Case and Long Term

Tables and charts

This report includes 39 images and tables including:

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Zinc's intensity of use to decline in long-term
  • Exchange stocks and price
  • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1960- 2030
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 2
  • Non-residential construction to become more important but growth will be muted in medium term
  • Chinese fixed asset investment in infrastructure still growing strongly
  • Galvanized sheet production growth slows in 2015
  • Chinese end use dominated by construction sector
  • China dominates global zinc consumption for forecast period
  • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
  • Mexico's importance as an automaker forecast to grow at the expense of the US
  • Galvanized sheet imports meet boost to demand from rising non-residential construction spending
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • African zinc mine production
  • Asian zinc mine production
  • European zinc mine production
  • Latin American zinc mine production
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Supply: Table 7
  • Supply: Table 8
  • Supply: Table 9
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Supply: Table 12
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Supply: Table 15
  • Supply: Table 16
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Supply: Table 18
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Supply: Table 20
  • Supply: Table 21

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015

    ZIP 6.07 MB

  • Document

    Zinc Tables LTO Q3 2015.pdf

    PDF 2.07 MB

  • Document

    Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q3 2015.pdf

    PDF 870.31 KB

  • Document

    Demand main changes zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 242.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 1.43 MB

  • Document

    Production rankings zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 146.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 171.50 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 5.29 MB

  • Document

    Mine analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 1.97 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 2.98 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls

    XLS 614.00 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015

    PDF 606.62 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 77.78 KB

  • Document


    PDF 254.17 KB

  • Document


    PDF 211.65 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 152.21 KB

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