Commodity market report
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42 Pages

Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015


Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015

Report summary

The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2035. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. This structural issue could be exacerbated by the recent retreat in the zinc price which will make raising the funds to develop new mines more difficult and increases the risk of the unplanned near-term closure of existing zinc mines owing to poor profitability.


What's included?

This report includes 11 file(s)

  • Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2015 PDF - 606.62 KB 42 Pages, 25 Tables, 14 Figures
  • Zinc Tables LTO Q3 2015.pdf PDF - 2.07 MB
  • Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q3 2015.pdf PDF - 870.31 KB
  • Demand main changes zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 242.50 KB
  • Demand analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 1.43 MB
  • Production rankings zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 146.50 KB
  • Supply main changes zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 171.50 KB
  • Equity Production zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 5.29 MB
  • Mine analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 1.97 MB
  • Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 2.98 MB
  • Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q3 2015.xls XLS - 614.00 KB

Description

As global demand weakens and commodity prices fall, we're seeing a challenging environment in the metals and mining industry. Mining companies are increasingly coming under pressure to reduce operating costs, causing many to shift their strategic planning, delay new investments and look to long-term future growth.

This Zinc Long Term Outlook report provides a detailed breakdown of global supply and demand balances in this market, as well as price forecasts.

Mining companies, investment banks and investors can use this report to understand the future direction of the ferrous and base metals market. It will also help you assess the impact of key industry issues and events on market balances and pricing.

From acquisitions to investments, Wood Mackenzie helps you plan, forecast and benchmark in the metals markets. Our proprietary database and analyst expertise combines robust production, consumption and pricing data with detailed analysis to identify market opportunities.

We give you a holistic view of the ferrous and base metals markets so you have the confidence to make strategic decisions.

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Overview
      • China
      • USA
      • First use
      • End use
  • Supply
    • Mine Production
      • Overview
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Europe
      • Latin America
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Zinc market dynamic
    • Supply and Demand - Base Case and Long Term

In this report there are 39 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Global slab zinc consumption by region
    • Global slab zinc consumption by region
    • Zinc's intensity of use to decline in long-term
    • Non-residential construction to become more important but growth will be muted in medium term
    • Chinese fixed asset investment in infrastructure still growing strongly
    • Galvanized sheet production growth slows in 2015
    • Chinese end use dominated by construction sector
    • China dominates global zinc consumption for forecast period
    • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
    • Mexico's importance as an automaker forecast to grow at the expense of the US
    • Galvanized sheet imports meet boost to demand from rising non-residential construction spending
    • Global first use consumption for zinc
    • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • Supply
    • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
    • African zinc mine production
    • Asian zinc mine production
    • European zinc mine production
    • Latin American zinc mine production
    • Supply: Table 6
    • Supply: Table 7
    • Supply: Table 8
    • Supply: Table 9
    • Supply: Table 10
    • Supply: Table 11
    • Supply: Table 12
    • Supply: Table 13
    • Supply: Table 14
    • Supply: Table 15
    • Supply: Table 16
    • Supply: Table 17
    • Supply: Table 18
    • Supply: Table 19
    • Supply: Table 20
    • Supply: Table 21
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Exchange stocks and price
    • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
    • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1960- 2030
    • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
    • Supply-demand balances: Table 2
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