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The US is sometimes thought to be immune to the impact of a steep rise in crude prices, because of the strength of its oil industry. But that view is an oversimplification. How might US E&Ps respond to disruption to global oil supplies?
Surging electricity demand for AI is prompting companies and banks to look at building new nuclear power plants in the US. Government support will still be needed.
US tax credits for low-carbon energy have bipartisan support, but could still come under pressure in the next Congress. Wood Mackenzie has modelled a “severe downside scenario” to show the possible impact on investment if the credits are cut.
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have set out sharply contrasting visions for energy, but a US administration’s ability to change the industry is limited.
Senator Joe Manchin is facing one last job before leaving Congress: passing legislation that could transform the outlook for energy investment in the US. His permitting reform bill aims to realise the potential of the Inflation Reduction Act.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts annual real GDP (constant 2015 US$) and GDP growth to the year 2050 by country for the world. Forecasts are updated on a quarterly basis. This report contains an excel download of our complete Global GDP dataset. Short-term GDP is forecast using a combination of lead indicators and an assessment of key economic variables over the current business cycle, including monetary…
In the December China economic focus, we discuss how the potential Trump tariff will impact the Chinese economy. Assuming an additional 60% tariff on all Chinese exports to the US, the implications for the energy transition supply chain, metals and energy demand will vary. The Chinese government will take measures to offset the negative impact. More aggressive domestic stimuli and renminbi…
The OPEC+ countries are taking on the delicate task of trying to raise oil production without crashing the market. They are starting cautiously, but the global economic outlook holds plenty of downside risks for demand and prices.
When you need more transmission capacity to connect up wind and solar and data centres, but it’s hard to build new lines, innovative grid technologies could be the answer. The Biden administration is trying to break down barriers to deployment.
China takes only a tiny share of the US markets for EVs, solar modules and steel. The Biden administration is signaling that it intends to keep it that way.
Two big European oil companies have recently announced deals to strengthen their holdings in US shale gas. The deals are small, but point to an important trend: the European companies still see the US as a core country.
Excess capacity has sent solar panel prices tumbling. In the early 2010s, the stretch goal was to get the cost down to 50c a watt. Now they are selling in China for just 11c. That is great for solar deployment, but less good for manufacturers.
A mild winter has driven US gas prices down to levels last seen during the pandemic. After the spike in prices in 2022, it seems as though the market has become more volatile. One key reason is that the US has not been building enough gas storage.
A solar slowdown, relief for OPEC+, the rise of blue hydrogen, and other trends to watch out for in the year ahead
Solar power construction breaking records around the world, oil and gas taxes under review in the UK, the latest on the claims of a breakthrough in superconductors, and more.
Congress and President Biden are at odds over possible new duties on modules imported from Southeast Asia
Like E&Ps, oilfield services companies are prioritising cash generation and distributions to shareholders. It could be a constraint on the industry's growth.
COP27 is ongoing, but progress could be limited by the leaders of China and India staying away from the summit in Egypt
Lula’s victory in the presidential election means a stronger emphasis on curbing emissions, but no radical changes in energy policy.
The US administration has suggested possible restrictions on imports of Russian oil. “Self-sanctioning” is already starting to have an impact
When consumption plunged as the pandemic hit, there were claims that the world had passed Peak Demand for oil. As demand rebounds, those claims are set to be refuted and the price has jumped heavily for oil, gas and coal.
Hurricanes are a fact of life in the Gulf of Mexico, and the energy industry has many decades of experience in managing the risks. But Hurricane Ida has been one of the most disruptive in recent years, and about 1.5 million barrels per day of US oil production is still offline. Increased rainfall and potentially higher wind speeds in future could further complicate the challenge of resilience.
The recovery in crude prices, taking WTI to over $70 a barrel, has meant that the cash flows coming in to US E&Ps have been soaring. But the industry’s response to these price signals, in terms of increased activity and production, has been much more cautious than has been typical over the past decade. Management teams have talked about strengthening balance sheets and returning cash to shareholders, and now they are delivering on those commitments.
Reports of the death of coal have been greatly exaggerated. Demand has been bouncing back this year as the world economy picks up again, and some prices have hit their highest levels for more than a decade.
The ransomware attack on the Colonial pipeline system had only a marginal impact on fuel markets, but could have been much more serious.
The shift towards renewable power generation relies on adding transmission capacity. Opposition to new lines makes that an uphill battle.
The shutdown of the Indian Point nuclear plant underlines the difficulty of achieving 100% zero-carbon electricity in the US by 2035
Reputational, legal and political risks meant there was little interest in a first-ever lease sale in the area. But Alaska’s oil industry has other more promising prospects
Good news on Covid-19 vaccines points to a rebound next year, but there are still some difficult months ahead
The US and European majors showed how cash distributions are a crucial part of their appeal to investors in the energy transition
As US E&Ps are battered by plunging oil prices, the Trump administration is considering offering them financial support. This and more in this week's Energy Pulse with Ed Crooks.
As the Covid-19 virus spreads to 52 countries, fears of its economic impact have sent stock markets and oil prices tumbling. This and more in Ed Crooks' Energy Pulse.
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