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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
China economic focus January 2024: sectors to watch
China’s GDP is expected to grow by 4.6% in 2024. The real estate infrastructure and auto sectors are going to be pivotal to growth this year. The s...
China economic focus July 2021: slowing growth ahead
China’s economy will slow from the second half of 2021. Slower export growth, rising commodity prices, lacklustre infrastructure investment and exp...
China economic focus March 2023: time for changes
The new government in China needs to issue new policies to accelerate economic recovery. However, the lower-than-expected 5% GDP target signals tha...
China Economic Focus November 2023: China, energy transition and deglobalisation
The recent meeting between Xi and Biden offers limited upside for China’s challenging position in deglobalisation. China needs to nurture the marke...
China economic focus October 2021: what’s next after power rationing?
Power rationing has impacted China’s economic growth since mid-September. We expect that constraints on power supply to persist before the end of t...
China economic focus October 2023: a low case for 2024
China's GDP growth could slow to 3.9% in 2024, according to our analysis of a low-case scenario. This scenario assumes flat property sales and new ...
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