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The global ethylene cost curve in a $30/bbl world

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10 March 2020

The global ethylene cost curve in a $30/bbl world

Report summary

The recent fall in the oil price could lead to significant repercussions in the global petrochemicals industry. Brent crude oil this week flirted with $30/bbl, having spent most of this year at around $60/bbl. Ethylene lies at the intersection of many upstream raw material markets as it can be produced from a range of feedstocks such as NGLs, refined products, coal and methanol. Wood Mackenzie has generated two ethylene cost curves to highlight the changes from an approximately $60/bbl oil price environment to a $30/bbl oil price world and the impact this would have on global ethylene cost competitiveness. The cost analysis has been performed for 2020 on approximately 300 ethylene producing assets worldwide using Wood Mackenzie's global ethylene asset cost tool.

Table of contents

  • Introduction
  • Global ethylene cost curves
  • Our take

Tables and charts

This report includes 2 images and tables including:

  • 2020 global ethylene cost curve at approximately $60/bbl oil - base case
  • 2020 global ethylene cost curve at $30/bbl oil - scenario case

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    The global ethylene cost curve in a $30/bbl world

    PDF 833.83 KB

  • Document

    Ethylene Asset Cost Tool.pdf

    PDF 2.13 MB