China coal short-term outlook October 2022
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Table of contents
- Thermal demand: slumping hydrogeneration underpins coal generation
- Met demand: recovery proved to be overrated - again
- Daily output in September achieved a YTD recorded high of 12.89 Mt/d
- Production in fourth quarter is expected to maintain momentum
- Thermal imports: Russian 5,500 coal becomes cheaper than Newcastle 5,500 in Asia since October
- Metallurgical imports: volumes from Russia and Mongolia continued to grow
- Thermal price: the coronavirus outbreak of Daqin rail line pushed up the QHD price
- Thermal outlook: issues will push the QHD price upward
- Met price: unreal price increase defeated by a weak reality
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Monthly coal-fired power generation (TWh)
- Monthly hydro-power generation (TWh)
- Monthly throughput at Qinhuangdao port (Mt)
- Monthly throughput at Huanghua port (Mt)
- Monthly hot metal production (Mt)
- Monthly metallurgical coke production (Mt)
- China coal output monthly (Mt)
- Thermal coal supply (Mt)
- Metallurgical coal supply (Mt)
- Key thermal coal prices: history and forecast (US$/t)
- Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill (US$/t nominal)
What's included
This report contains:
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