Commodity Market Report

India coal short-term outlook March 2019: could 2018 growth be repeated?

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India’s electricity demand from utilities increased by only 1% or 2.2 TWh year-on-year in January-February, which was met by hydro and renewables. Lower nuclear in the past few months supported thermal generation, but overall it declined 1.3% to accommodate weaker demand coupled with higher renewables and hydro generation. However, coal imports received support from the realisation of tenders and non-power sector demand. Higher domestic production meant that the coal stocks increased at mine sites and at the power plants. In this report, we discuss how these factors will affect the coal imports in Q2 2019.

Table of contents

  • Seasonally slow demand growth and improved production ease spot prices
  • Decline in coal demand from power generation more than offset by increase in non-power demand
  • Carbon conversion to cause volatility in coal demand in India
  • Domestic production shows strength
  • Third auction for SHAKTI coal contracts announced

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • CIL performance in the spot market
  • CFR India prices of imported coal
  • Key thermal prices - history/forecast, nominal US$/t
  • Key met prices - history/ forecast, nominal US$/t
  • Monthly coal-fired generation
  • Monthly hot metal and steel production
  • Domestic coal stocks at power plants
  • Imported coal stocks at power plants
  • CIL raw coal production
  • CIL coal despatches
  • Seaborne thermal imports by origin

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    cms_india_short_term_outlook_march_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 349.71 KB

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    India coal short-term outlook March 2019: could 2018 growth be repeated?

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    India coal short-term outlook March 2019: could 2018 growth be repeated?

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